SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Barracas Central |
64.61% ( 0.87) | 22.43% ( -0.35) | 12.96% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 39.29% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.33% ( 0.26) | 56.66% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.37% ( 0.21) | 77.62% ( -0.21) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( 0.39) | 17.03% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.82% ( 0.7) | 47.17% ( -0.7) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.35% ( -0.68) | 52.65% ( 0.68) |
