SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Boca Juniors |
33.47% ( -1.79) | 28.74% ( 0.26) | 37.78% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 45.45% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.95% ( -1.05) | 61.05% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.97% ( -0.79) | 81.03% ( 0.79) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( -1.75) | 33.97% ( 1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.35% ( -1.93) | 70.65% ( 1.93) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% ( 0.42) | 31.16% ( -0.42) |
