SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentinos Juniors.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Tigre |
57.01% ( 0.41) | 24.07% ( -0.34) | 18.91% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.8% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% ( 1.17) | 53.39% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% ( 0.98) | 74.92% ( -0.98) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( 0.6) | 18.57% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.17% ( 1) | 49.83% ( -1) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.47% ( 0.61) | 42.53% ( -0.61) |
