SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Talleres |
50.22% ( 0.03) | 26.7% ( -0) | 23.08% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.07% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.42% ( -0.01) | 58.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.86% ( -0.01) | 79.14% ( 0.01) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( 0.01) | 23.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.53% ( 0.01) | 57.47% ( -0.01) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% ( -0.03) | 41.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.34% ( -0.03) | 77.66% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.23% Total : 23.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 58 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 7 | Fulham | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 38 |
| 9 | Brentford | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 38 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 26 |
| 15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Everton | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 22 |
| 19 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 20 | Bournemouth | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
