SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Estudiantes |
42.87% ( -0.03) | 27.8% ( -0.08) | 29.32% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.76% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.2% ( 0.32) | 58.8% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.69% ( 0.25) | 79.31% ( -0.25) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( 0.13) | 27.15% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.45% ( 0.17) | 62.55% ( -0.17) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( 0.26) | 35.81% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.41% ( 0.26) | 72.59% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.87% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.32% |
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