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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 30, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa
2 - 0
Colon
Togni (23', 70')
Colombo (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Delgado (22'), Chicco (73')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Colon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barracas Central 0-2 Defensa
Monday, April 24 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Colon had a probability of 26.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawColon
45.46% (0.457 0.46) 27.89% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 26.64% (-0.515 -0.52)
Both teams to score 44.97% (-0.487 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.72% (-0.448 -0.45)60.28% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.55% (-0.342 -0.34)80.45% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (0.02600000000001 0.03)26.5% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (0.035000000000004 0.04)61.69% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (-0.686 -0.69)38.81% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (-0.655 -0.66)75.54% (0.65300000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 45.45%
    Colon 26.64%
    Draw 27.88%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawColon
1-0 @ 13.65% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 9.07% (0.165 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 45.45%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.28% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-2 Defensa
Monday, April 24 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 America Mineiro
Thursday, April 20 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Instituto
Saturday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 0-3 Defensa
Wednesday, April 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-2 C. Cordoba
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Millonarios 3-0 Defensa
Wednesday, April 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Colon
Monday, April 17 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 2-2 Talleres
Thursday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-2 Colon
Monday, April 10 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, April 2 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-2 Colon
Saturday, March 18 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group A
1Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs00000000
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal00000000
3Atletico TucumanTucuman00000000
4BanfieldBanfield00000000
5Barracas Central00000000
6ColonColon00000000
7GimnasiaGimnasia00000000
8HuracanHuracan00000000
9IndependienteIndependiente00000000
10Instituto00000000
11River PlateRiver Plate00000000
12Rosario CentralRosario00000000
13TalleresTalleres00000000
14Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield00000000
Group B
1BelgranoBelgrano00000000
2Boca Juniors00000000
3Central CordobaC. Cordoba00000000
4Defensa y JusticiaDefensa00000000
5EstudiantesEstudiantes00000000
6Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz00000000
7LanusLanus00000000
8Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB00000000
9Platense00000000
10Racing ClubRacing00000000
11San Lorenzo00000000
12Sarmiento00000000
13TigreTigre00000000
14UnionUnion00000000
 
First Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate20152336122447
2TalleresTalleres20124435171840
3San Lorenzo2010731971237
4EstudiantesEstudiantes2010552517835
5LanusLanus209742819934
6Rosario CentralRosario209742923634
7Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2096525131233
8BelgranoBelgrano209471717031
9Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs208572317629
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz208572323029
11Boca Juniors208482318528
12Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB207761716128
13Platense207582124-326
14Racing ClubRacing207582529-426
15Sarmiento206771817125
16GimnasiaGimnasia207491727-1025
17Central CordobaC. Cordoba206681621-524
18ColonColon2041151820-223
19Barracas Central205871926-723
20TigreTigre205781823-522
21Instituto205781626-1022
22IndependienteIndependiente204972023-321
23Atletico TucumanTucuman204971723-621
24UnionUnion204881424-1020
25Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield203981922-318
26HuracanHuracan2046101524-918
27BanfieldBanfield2046101326-1318
28Arsenal SarandiArsenal2052131527-1217
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