SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
39.36% ( 0) | 28.11% ( 0) | 32.52% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.02% ( -0.02) | 58.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.55% ( -0.01) | 79.45% ( 0.02) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( -0.01) | 29.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.87% ( -0.01) | 65.13% ( 0.02) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( -0.01) | 33.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.82% ( -0.01) | 70.18% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.36% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | BelgranoBelgrano | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Rosario CentralRosario | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | LanusLanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 | TalleresTalleres | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 21 |
| 9 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | TigreTigre | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
| 14 | Racing ClubRacing | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Platense | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 | Instituto | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
| 18 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 19 | Sarmiento | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| 20 | HuracanHuracan | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 21 | BanfieldBanfield | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 15 |
| 22 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
| 23 | ColonColon | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 24 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 14 |
| 25 | Barracas Central | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 26 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 |
| 27 | IndependienteIndependiente | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 10 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 8 |
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