SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Estudiantes |
39.8% ( -0.06) | 29.16% ( -0) | 31.04% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.14% ( 0.02) | 62.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.64% ( 0.01) | 82.36% ( -0.01) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% ( -0.03) | 30.86% ( 0.03) |
