SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 39.28%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 2-1 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.43%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
39.28% ( 0.48) | 30.39% ( 0.16) | 30.33% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 40.46% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.23% ( -0.59) | 66.77% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.89% ( -0.4) | 85.11% ( 0.4) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.01) | 33.2% ( 0.01) |
