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Mar 24, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Paraguay
3 - 1
Ecuador
Morales (10'), Hincapie (45+6' og.), Almiron (54')
Almiron (32'), Riveros (39'), Cubas (43'), Gomez (81'), Villasanti (90+1')
Riveros (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Caicedo (85' pen.)
Valencia (53'), Torres (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Paraguay
Thursday, June 2 at 11am in International Friendlies
Next Game: South Korea vs. Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Paraguay 0-2 Ecuador

With far more to play for, and with momentum on their side, we back Ecuador to secure a crucial win on Thursday. La Tri have performed over and above all expectations to remain in the top four, and they should have enough to cruise past a struggling Paraguay team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 47.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.

Result
ParaguayDrawEcuador
47.12%27.93%24.94%
Both teams to score 43.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.62%61.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.72%81.28%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82%26.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74%61.25%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05%40.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49%77.51%
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 47.12%
    Ecuador 24.94%
    Draw 27.92%
ParaguayDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 14.36%
2-0 @ 9.63%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-0 @ 4.3%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 47.12%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.57%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 24.94%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Paraguay
Wednesday, February 2 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 0-1 Uruguay
Thursday, January 27 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 0-0 Paraguay
Tuesday, November 16 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 0-1 Chile
Thursday, November 11 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 4-0 Paraguay
Thursday, October 14 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 2-0 Paraguay
Monday, October 11 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-1 Ecuador
Wednesday, February 2 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, January 27 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Ecuador
Sunday, December 5 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 0-2 Ecuador
Wednesday, November 17 at 12.15am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Venezuela
Thursday, November 11 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Ecuador
Thursday, October 28 at 2am in International Friendlies
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