MX23RW : Saturday, November 26 00:21:13
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Saturday, November 26
Jun 6, 2022 at 12.30am UK at Soldier Field
Mexico
0 - 0
Ecuador

Guardado (28'), Vega (47'), Gallardo (66')
FT

Gruezo (34'), Cifuentes (41'), Caicedo (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Mexico 2-1 Ecuador

In what should be an intriguing encounter between two sides looking to build confidence for the World Cup, we predict a tight contest that could go either way. Ultimately, we see Mexico boasting the slightly stronger squad all round and back them to bounce back from the recent defeat to Uruguay with a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.33%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawEcuador
57.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.54% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 15.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
Both teams to score 35.79% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.84% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.16% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)84% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.07% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)56.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)53.48% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.05% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)86.95% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 57.61%
    Ecuador 15.84%
    Draw 26.53%
MexicoDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 18.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 57.61%
0-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mexico 0-3 Uruguay
Friday, June 3 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-1 Nigeria
Sunday, May 29 at 1.08am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Guatemala
Thursday, April 28 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 El Salvador
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Honduras 0-1 Mexico
Monday, March 28 at 12.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 USA
Friday, March 25 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Nigeria
Friday, June 3 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 1-1 Argentina
Wednesday, March 30 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 3-1 Ecuador
Thursday, March 24 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-1 Ecuador
Wednesday, February 2 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, January 27 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Ecuador
Sunday, December 5 at 2am in International Friendlies
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