SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Ecuador win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Argentina |
| 22.29% | 24.33% | 53.38% |
| Both teams to score 50.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% | 50.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% | 72.4% |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% | 37.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.91% | 74.09% |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% | 18.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ecuador | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 6.93% 2-1 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.29% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 11.73% 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 5.37% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Everton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 19 | Luton TownLuton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 |
| 20 | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 0 |
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