Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivia would win this match.
