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Tuesday, November 22
Mar 25, 2022 at 5pm UK
Mali
0 - 1
Tunisia

Kouyate (90+2')
Sissako (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sissako (36' og.)
Jaziri (49'), Ghandri (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Mali 4-0 Congo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: South Sudan vs. Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Six:
Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Tunisia vs. Libya
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mali 1-0 Tunisia

Tunisia have struggled for consistency in recent outings, losing four of their last six games in all competitions. They face the stern test of facing a defensively solid Mali side who have conceded just once in their last 11 competitive games. With the support of the home crowd, we predict Mali will prove a hard nut to crack for the Carthage Eagles and come out with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
MaliDrawTunisia
55.08%24.09%20.83%
Both teams to score 49.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87%51.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02%72.98%
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55%18.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37%49.63%
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86%39.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15%75.85%
Score Analysis
    Mali 55.08%
    Tunisia 20.83%
    Draw 24.08%
MaliDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.08%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 7.22%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.42%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 20.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mali 0-0 Eq Guinea (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, January 26 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Mauritania
Thursday, January 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Gambia 1-1 Mali
Sunday, January 16 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Mali
Wednesday, January 12 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Uganda
Sunday, November 14 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Rwanda 0-3 Mali
Thursday, November 11 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Tunisia
Saturday, January 29 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Nigeria 0-1 Tunisia
Sunday, January 23 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Tunisia
Thursday, January 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 4-0 Mauritania
Sunday, January 16 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Mali
Wednesday, January 12 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 3-1 Zambia
Tuesday, November 16 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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