Mali were denied a place in the knockout stages last time out when they played out a draw with Gambia. However, like all good sides do, we are tipping them to bounce back to winning ways against a floundering Mauritania side and qualify for the next phase of the tournament.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.
