SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Congo |
52.29% ( -0.07) | 24.1% ( -0.03) | 23.62% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( 0.2) | 48.21% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( 0.18) | 70.37% ( -0.18) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( 0.05) | 18.41% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.43% ( 0.08) | 49.56% ( -0.08) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% ( 0.2) | 34.82% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.44% ( 0.21) | 71.56% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mali | Draw | Congo |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.28% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 23.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Luton TownLuton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Manchester CityMan City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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