Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
