Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.