The reverse fixture ended in a goalless draw, and with just three points separating the sides in the standings, we think that Sunday's contest could also end level as the two teams continue to struggle to find a winning formula.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
