Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
