SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curacao | Draw | Honduras |
| 47.03% | 25.43% | 27.54% |
| Both teams to score 52.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% | 50.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% | 72.54% |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% | 21.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.4% | 54.6% |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% | 32.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.57% | 69.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Curacao | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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