Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Fenerbahce
5 - 1
Kasimpasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 9.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Kasimpasa |
75.61% ( 0.04) | 15.04% ( 0.03) | 9.34% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0.48) |
| 65.53% ( -0.43) | 34.47% ( 0.43) |
| 43.6% ( -0.49) | 56.39% ( 0.49) |
| 92.38% ( -0.09) | 7.61% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.78% ( -0.23) | 27.22% ( 0.23) |
| 55.03% ( -0.46) | 44.97% ( 0.46) |
