SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Sivasspor |
47.13% ( -0.11) | 25.26% ( 0.02) | 27.62% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.12% ( -0.06) | 49.88% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% ( -0.05) | 71.87% ( 0.05) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( -0.07) | 21.18% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.95% ( -0.11) | 54.05% ( 0.11) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 0.03) | 32.4% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.08% ( 0.04) | 68.92% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Sivasspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 27.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 69 | 26 | 43 | 73 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 68 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 60 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | KayserisporKayserispor | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 49 |
| 7 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 48 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 44 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 38 |
| 11 | SivassporSivasspor | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 37 |
| 12 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 35 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 28 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 26 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 68 | -49 | 23 |
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