Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
