Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
