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Sunday, October 8
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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2022 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium
Kasimpasa
1 - 2
Fenerbahce
Muleka (67')
Eysseric (48'), Elmali (90+3'), Spajic (90+4'), Donk (90+7'), Mabil (90+7')
Mabil (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zajc (6'), Szalai (90+1')
Dursun (86')

We said: Kasimpasa 1-3 Fenerbahce

Kasimpasa's last two games have yielded 12 goals, and we think that Monday's contest will also be an eventful one, although we expect Fenerbahce to prevail, especially as they have won the last four competitive meetings between the two sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFenerbahce
32.81%24.06%43.12%
Both teams to score 60.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95%42.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.55%64.45%
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05%24.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42%59.58%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28%19.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27%51.73%
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 32.81%
    Fenerbahce 43.12%
    Draw 24.06%
KasimpasaDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 7.7%
1-0 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.81%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 9%
0-1 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 4.87%
0-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.43%
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 43.12%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Fenerbahce88002031724
2GalatasarayGalatasaray87101641222
3Adana Demirspor85211991017
4BesiktasBesiktas8512129316
5Hatayspor8350147714
6Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor8422911-214
7TrabzonsporTrabzonspor84041511412
8KasimpasaKasimpasa83321316-312
9SivassporSivasspor82421011-110
10KayserisporKayserispor824278-110
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor8242810-210
12AnkaragucuAnkaragucu8233121029
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor8233910-19
14KonyasporKonyaspor8233810-29
15Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul8215511-67
16Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk813479-26
17GaziantepGaziantep8206615-96
18Pendikspor8044817-94
19Istanbulspor7025311-82
20Samsunspor7016514-91
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