SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 60.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Torino in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Torino.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Sampdoria |
60.21% ( -0.05) | 22.82% ( 0.02) | 16.96% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% ( -0.06) | 51.34% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( -0.05) | 73.16% ( 0.05) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( -0.04) | 16.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.46% ( -0.07) | 46.54% ( 0.07) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.33% ( -0.01) | 43.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.15% ( -0.01) | 79.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 60.21% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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