Having ended their losing run at the weekend, Sampdoria will feel more optimistic that they can overcome their improving opponents. However, we feel that the visitors, helped by their stronger defence, will be able to edge this contest in the latter stages.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
