SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Monza |
41.66% ( -0.29) | 27.54% ( 0.03) | 30.8% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.67% ( -0.01) | 57.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( -0.01) | 78.16% ( 0.01) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0.16) | 27.11% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.5% ( -0.21) | 62.5% ( 0.2) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.18) | 33.92% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.41% ( 0.2) | 70.59% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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