SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Monza had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Roma |
36.07% ( 1.08) | 27.41% ( 0.4) | 36.52% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 49.6% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.98% ( -1.53) | 56.02% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% ( -1.26) | 77.1% ( 1.26) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( -0.08) | 29.71% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.23% ( -0.1) | 65.77% ( 0.1) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( -1.61) | 29.43% ( 1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.57% ( -2.02) | 65.43% ( 2.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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