SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Torino |
24.41% ( -0) | 26.13% ( 0) | 49.45% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.94% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% ( -0.02) | 55.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% ( -0.01) | 76.71% ( 0.01) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.85% ( -0.01) | 38.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.09% ( -0.01) | 74.91% ( 0.01) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( -0.01) | 22.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.93% ( -0.01) | 56.06% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.99% 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.41% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.55% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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