SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Lecce |
35.85% ( 0.03) | 27.63% ( -0.06) | 36.51% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.92% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.13% ( 0.24) | 56.87% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.21% ( 0.19) | 77.79% ( -0.19) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( 0.14) | 30.26% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.57% ( 0.17) | 66.43% ( -0.17) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% ( 0.14) | 29.86% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.06% ( 0.17) | 65.94% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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