SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Inter Milan |
13.29% ( -0) | 19.17% ( 0.33) | 67.54% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 49.67% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.95% ( -1.52) | 43.05% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.55% ( -1.52) | 65.45% ( 1.53) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.96) | 43.7% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.12% ( -0.81) | 79.88% ( 0.81) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.23% ( -0.52) | 11.77% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.05% ( -1.13) | 36.95% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.29% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.89% Total : 19.17% | 0-2 @ 11.77% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 11% ( 0.5)1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.4% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.95% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 4.49% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.72% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.14)0-5 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.52% Total : 67.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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