SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 5.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.87%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
82.2% ( 0.39) | 12.02% ( -0.07) | 5.79% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 43.78% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.53% ( -1.27) | 33.47% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.74% ( -1.47) | 55.26% ( 1.47) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.91% ( -0.18) | 6.09% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.87% ( -0.5) | 23.13% ( 0.5) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.62% ( -1.99) | 53.38% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.11% ( -1.29) | 86.89% ( 1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.58) 3-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.42)1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.51)4-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.2)6-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.16)6-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.53% Total : 82.18% | 1-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.02% | 0-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.95% Total : 5.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 15 | 39 | 59 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 44 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Roma | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 41 |
| 6 | Lazio | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 39 |
| 7 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
| 8 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Juventus | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 29 |
| 10 | Monza | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 29 |
| 11 | Bologna | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Empoli | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 27 |
| 13 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Fiorentina | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 21 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 19 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 11 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 22 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 8 |
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