In the 100th Serie A meeting between the clubs, neither side stands out as strong favourites due to some lacklustre displays from both in recent weeks.
The last draw in this fixture came back in January 2014, and Samp have not drawn any of their last 12 Serie A games, but the spoils should be shared on this occasion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
