SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 77.68%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 7.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.86%) and 1-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Empoli |
77.68% ( 0.44) | 14.48% ( -0.28) | 7.84% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.76% ( 0.79) | 37.24% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.55% ( 0.84) | 59.45% ( -0.84) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.19% ( 0.28) | 7.81% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.27% ( 0.7) | 27.72% ( -0.7) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.66% ( 0.16) | 50.33% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.11% ( 0.11) | 84.89% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-0 @ 12.77% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.25)2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.44% Total : 77.67% | 1-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 14.48% | 0-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 7.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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