SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Monza |
26.51% ( -0.06) | 26.57% ( 0.01) | 46.92% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.3% ( -0.08) | 55.7% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.15% ( -0.07) | 76.84% ( 0.06) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( -0.09) | 36.4% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.81% ( -0.09) | 73.19% ( 0.09) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( -0.02) | 23.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.13% ( -0.02) | 57.86% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.51% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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