SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Juventus |
22.59% ( 0.06) | 23.83% ( 0.15) | 53.57% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( -0.57) | 48.14% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( -0.52) | 70.3% ( 0.53) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.28% ( -0.26) | 35.72% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.51% ( -0.27) | 72.49% ( 0.27) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( -0.29) | 17.9% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.31% ( -0.5) | 48.69% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.59% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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