SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Monza |
58.7% ( 0.23) | 22.05% ( -0.06) | 19.25% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( 0.04) | 44.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( 0.04) | 67.05% ( -0.04) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( 0.09) | 14.89% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.75% ( 0.17) | 43.25% ( -0.17) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.91% ( -0.15) | 37.09% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.12% ( -0.15) | 73.87% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 19.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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