This game is a close one to call. The home side are struggling to find the back of the net on their turf, while Empoli just ended a four-game run without scoring before last weekend's win over Torino.
However, the away side's penchant for netting late goals means they always carry a threat, and Nicola's men should nick maximum points against a team that go into this weekend on the back of firing six blanks in eight league gameweeks.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lecce win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Empoli has a probability of 32.04% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Empoli win is 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%).
0.38) 
-0.47) 
