Milan have lost just one of their last 24 matches against Lecce in Serie A - and not at all for nearly two decades - while the Salentini are one of the weakest away sides in Italy's top flight. Even with an eye on their big continental contest next week, the hosts should be able to take care of business without too much fuss.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw has a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lecce has a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Lecce win it is 0-1 (4.77%).