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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
IL

Lecce
0 - 4
Inter Milan


Sansone (2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (15', 56'), Frattesi (54'), de Vrij (67')
Asllani (38'), Mkhitaryan (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 2-0 Lecce
Friday, February 16 at 6pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lecce 1-2 Inter Milan

Via del Mare is not a place to venture without caution, but Lecce are on a downward slope and Inter have been simply irresistible this year. Even accounting for some squad rotation, Inzaghi's boys can post another win and inch closer towards the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawInter Milan
19.1% (-0.507 -0.51) 23.51% (-0.255 -0.26) 57.39% (0.762 0.76)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.02% (0.342 0.34)50.98% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.299 0.3)72.85% (-0.3 -0.3)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-0.366 -0.37)40.92% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.329 -0.33)77.48% (0.33 0.33)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (0.40299999999999 0.4)17.54% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93% (0.695 0.7)48.07% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 19.1%
    Inter Milan 57.39%
    Draw 23.51%
LecceDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.87% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.1%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 12.49%
0-2 @ 10.87% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.31% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.64% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.75% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.07 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 57.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Torino 2-0 Lecce
Friday, February 16 at 6pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 4-0 Lecce
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-3 Juventus
Sunday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Salernitana
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, February 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana


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