SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Torino | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
68.05% ( 0) | 19.19% ( -0) | 12.76% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.07% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% ( 0.01) | 44.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.25% ( 0.01) | 66.75% ( -0.01) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.99% ( 0) | 12.01% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.53% ( 0.01) | 37.47% ( -0.01) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.63% ( 0) | 45.37% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.77% ( 0) | 81.23% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 12.23% 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.7% 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 68.03% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.79% Total : 19.19% | 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.01% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.19% Total : 12.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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