Fiorentina may have failed to score in midweek, but they generally find the target on home soil and should be able to breach Lecce's defence more than once. Boasting an array of attacking options, the Viola are well placed to start the Serie A season with back-to-back wins.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
0.21) 
-0.12) 
