Even though Genoa's winning run could end against Fiorentina, Gilardino's men playing out a score draw with Italiano's team is the likely outcome this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
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