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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
S

Empoli
1 - 0
Salernitana

Baldanzi (34')
Grassi (28'), Maleh (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maggiore (24')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, September 24 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 0-0 Salernitana

Despite there having been 28 goals across the last seven head-to-heads, neither side has shown much offensive threat in the early stage of the season. Salernitana have not won here in Empoli in the 21st century though, and even though hosts sit bottom, they will expect to take at least something from this encounter, if only a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawSalernitana
35.93% (-2.973 -2.97) 26.44% (-0.236 -0.24) 37.62% (3.206 3.21)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.938 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92% (1.115 1.11)52.07% (-1.117 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.955 0.96)73.8% (-0.956 -0.96)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (-1.185 -1.19)27.87% (1.182 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (-1.537 -1.54)63.48% (1.535 1.54)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (2.46 2.46)26.89% (-2.461 -2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (3.121 3.12)62.2% (-3.125 -3.13)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 35.93%
    Salernitana 37.62%
    Draw 26.43%
EmpoliDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.766 -0.77)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.344 -0.34)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.717 -0.72)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.405 -0.41)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 35.93%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.484 0.48)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.579 0.58)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.439 0.44)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.426 0.43)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.212 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.213 0.21)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 37.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, September 24 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 7-0 Empoli
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Cittadella
Saturday, August 12 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone
Friday, September 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Torino
Monday, September 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Udinese
Monday, August 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Sunday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Ternana
Sunday, August 13 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia


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