No team drew more games in Europe's top five leagues last season (15, level with Reims and Nantes), so Salernitana are not easy to beat under Paulo Sousa. With a settled side and a proven goal threat, the visitors can therefore frustrate their hosts on matchday one and restrict new-look Roma to just a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.16) 
0.11) 
