MX23RW : Saturday, October 15 21:21:57
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Sep 26, 2020 at 3pm UK at St Mirren Park
St Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

Foley (43'), Fraser (56'), Morias (83'), Sheron (84'), McCarthy (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kabamba (28')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
41.03%28.71%30.25%
Both teams to score 44.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.41%61.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.57%81.43%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48%65.51%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39%36.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.61%73.39%
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 41.03%
    Kilmarnock 30.25%
    Draw 28.69%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 13.18%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 1.65%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.69%
0-1 @ 10.85%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.25%

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Scottish Premiership Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic109013562927
2RangersRangers97112481622
3Hibernian115241314-117
4St Mirren105141013-316
5Livingston10505812-415
6Hearts94231514114
7Aberdeen94141815313
8Motherwell104151312113
9St Johnstone113171116-510
10Kilmarnock11236819-119
11Dundee UnitedDundee Utd112361023-139
12Ross County11236619-139
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal980123101324
2Manchester CityMan City97203392423
3Tottenham HotspurSpurs1072122101223
4Chelsea85121310316
5Manchester UnitedMan Utd85031315-215
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9351179814
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94231411314
8Brentford103431817113
9Bournemouth103431022-1213
10Fulham103341620-412
11Liverpool82422012810
12Crystal Palace92431012-210
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham9315810-210
14Everton10244811-310
15Leeds UnitedLeeds82331112-19
16Aston Villa9234711-49
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves10235412-89
18Southampton9216817-97
19Leicester CityLeicester101271524-95
20Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10127723-165
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