Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.