Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
